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Decision Leadership Institute
A culture of strong decision-making is a strategic advantage. Learn to think more clearly, decide more confidently, and lead more effectively.

Latest

18
Dec
Base Rates and the Outside View: The Leader’s Guide to Smarter Decisions

Base Rates and the Outside View: The Leader’s Guide to Smarter Decisions

As leaders, we’re often celebrated for our intuition and ability to make bold, decisive calls. But too often, intuition leads us astray —…
4 min read
20
Nov

Confirmation Bias and Decision Leadership:

How to Build a Culture of Clarity and Critical Thinking
4 min read
31
Oct
Causation vs. Correlation Matrix

Causation vs. Correlation Matrix

A Tool for Decision Leaders
5 min read
21
Oct
Image from Gemini of a girl talking with her parents about college

How to Structure the College Decision

I’m a father and currently run the Decision Leadership Institute, where we teach decision-making skills to executives. Before that, I led a…
5 min read
30
Sep

Decision Leadership: How Leaders Can Improve Decision-Making:

Managing Cognitive Biases, Thinking Probabilistically, and Structuring Decisions
4 min read
05
Oct
Numeracy and Probabilistic Thinking Are the Easiest and Most Practical Decision Skills for Leaders

Numeracy and Probabilistic Thinking Are the Easiest and Most Practical Decision Skills for Leaders

In the realm of decision-making, numeracy and probabilistic thinking often find themselves sidelined, regarded as esoteric, or even…
2 min read
04
Oct

The Power of Bayesian Belief Updating: A Guide for Leaders and Decision-Makers

Successful leadership often hinges on mastering decision-making amid uncertainty. Central to this mastery is the art of Bayesian belief…
2 min read
13
May
Your Questions, Their Answers: An “Exclusive Conversation” with Daniel Kahneman and Annie Duke

Your Questions, Their Answers: An “Exclusive Conversation” with Daniel Kahneman and Annie Duke

When we brought Annie and Danny together recently for a talk about all things decision-making and Danny’s new book, “Noise: A Flaw in Human…
10 min read
13
May
Exclusive and Personal, Daniel Kahneman Talks to Us About “Noise”

Exclusive and Personal, Daniel Kahneman Talks to Us About “Noise”

Our own Daniel Kahneman has unlocked yet another facet of the mind that impacts decision-making.
5 min read
13
May
Stanford Study Confirms What We Already, Painfully, Know: Today’s Youth Struggle In Deciding What…

Stanford Study Confirms What We Already, Painfully, Know: Today’s Youth Struggle In Deciding What…

Our colleagues at the Stanford History Education Group just completed another compelling national study that showcases, again, that our…
3 min read